Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.379097 3.945960 4.547431 5.230032 5.980094 6.776178 7.681954
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.475871 3.238080 4.106821 5.156941 6.378674 7.742612 9.367607
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.005469 2.906893 4.000899 5.394386 7.090437 9.057733 11.481530
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.574337 2.533466 3.771749 5.428234 7.527721 10.045018 13.235174
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.343443 2.370042 3.767179 5.712327 8.257410 11.387127 15.437630
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.144413 2.209957 3.735044 5.937687 8.902570 12.629581 17.540353
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.950312 2.018271 3.627598 6.037305 9.369998 13.646368 19.374570
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.756222 1.786497 3.428199 5.980583 9.608804 14.360218 20.827810
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.637847 1.657786 3.363777 6.100846 10.079523 15.375386 22.675832
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.537401 1.539626 3.298403 6.206318 10.522534 16.354267 24.486250
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.415394 1.349520 3.089789 6.072851 10.610178 16.847097 25.658298
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.314197 1.173740 2.880308 5.915416 10.645457 17.257414 26.716560
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.243093 1.046989 2.745150 5.871101 10.851682 17.919288 28.143201
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.182368 0.923646 2.598426 5.793761 11.000429 18.500504 29.469528
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.160711 0.902553 2.648849 6.051808 11.669231 19.830570 31.840920
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.125929 0.826456 2.576347 6.088895 11.991822 20.668560 33.544804
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.113938 0.822474 2.655095 6.396411 12.747184 22.142880 36.150651
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.099525 0.803631 2.698395 6.640030 13.405040 23.484574 38.587441
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.080309 0.755659 2.669615 6.747657 13.844292 24.511255 40.593719
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.057750 0.676265 2.555588 6.686439 14.003015 25.123187 42.019662
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.046281 0.641523 2.543532 6.816290 14.476606 26.207345 44.125277
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.036378 0.606405 2.524952 6.930117 14.923219 27.254469 46.186278
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.022828 0.528567 2.381679 6.786082 14.927990 27.632173 47.289187